Current:Home > reviewsThe case for a soft landing in the economy just got another boost -Clarity Finance Guides
The case for a soft landing in the economy just got another boost
View
Date:2025-04-18 09:45:50
Odds of a soft landing may have just gotten a little better.
The latest employment report from the Labor Department shows job growth held steady last month, boosting hopes that the Federal Reserve may be able to curb inflation without triggering a sharp jump in unemployment.
U.S. employers added 187,000 jobs in July. While job growth has moderated, it hasn't come close to stalling, even after the Fed raised interest rates to the highest level in 22 years.
Here are five takeaways from the report.
Keeping up with population growth
Over the last three months, employers have added an average of 217,000 jobs per month.
That's down from an average of 312,000 jobs in the first three months of the year, but it's still a healthy pace of growth.
Employers are still adding more than enough jobs each month to keep pace with population growth.
Health care, hospitality and construction were among the industries adding jobs in July, while factories and transportation saw modest job cuts.
Historically low unemployment
The unemployment rate dipped to 3.5% in July from 3.6% the month before. The jobless rate has hovered in a narrow range for more than a year, hitting a half-century low of 3.4% in April.
Unemployment among African Americans hit a record low of 4.7% that month before rebounding to 6% in June — raising some concerns. In a relief, the African American jobless rate dipped again in July to 5.8%.
It's best to take those numbers with a grain of salt. The figures can be noisy because of the relatively small sample size.
People are earning more
Here's another bit of positive news: Wages are finally outpacing inflation, boosting workers' buying power.
Average wages in July were up 4.4% from a year ago. Wage gains have moderated in the last year, but inflation has cooled as well, so workers' paychecks now stretch farther.
For the twelve months ending in June wages rose 4.4%, while prices climbed just 3%. (The inflation rate for the year ending in July will be released next week.)
Coming off the sidelines
The number of people working, or looking for work, increased by 152,000 last month.
Importantly, the share of people in their prime working years (ages 25-54) who are in the labor force is growing. After hitting a two-decade high in June, it fell just slightly last month.
That's important, because a growing workforce allows the economy to expand without putting upward pressure on inflation.
And it's good news for women
Before the pandemic, women briefly outnumbered men on U.S. payrolls.
The ranks of working women fell sharply in 2020, when schools and restaurants were shuttered and many women were forced to leave work to look after family members or for other reasons.
Women's share of jobs has been slowly recovering, however, thanks in part to job growth in health care and education — fields where women outnumber men. (In contrast, the male-dominated manufacturing industry lost 2,000 jobs last month.)
As of July, women held 49.9% of all payroll jobs, up from 49.8% the month before.
veryGood! (3)
Related
- Pressure on a veteran and senator shows what’s next for those who oppose Trump
- House Oversight chairman to move ahead with contempt of Congress proceedings against FBI director
- King Charles III and Queen Camilla Officially Crowned at Coronation
- Zoey the Lab mix breaks record for longest tongue on a living dog — and it's longer than a soda can
- Apple iOS 18.2: What to know about top features, including Genmoji, AI updates
- Ten States Aim for Offshore Wind Boom in Alliance with Interior Department
- Ethan Orton, teen who brutally killed parents in Cedar Rapids, Iowa, sentenced to life in prison
- Senate Finance chair raises prospect of subpoena for Harlan Crow over Clarence Thomas ties
- SFO's new sensory room helps neurodivergent travelers fight flying jitters
- TransCanada Launches Two Legal Challenges to Obama’s Rejection of Keystone
Ranking
- Newly elected West Virginia lawmaker arrested and accused of making terroristic threats
- Unique Hazards of Tar Sands Oil Spills Confirmed by National Academies of Sciences
- California plans to phase out new gas heaters by 2030
- There's a global call for kangaroo care. Here's what it looks like in the Ivory Coast
- Biden administration makes final diplomatic push for stability across a turbulent Mideast
- MTV Movie & TV Awards 2023 Live Show Canceled After Drew Barrymore Exit
- Zoey the Lab mix breaks record for longest tongue on a living dog — and it's longer than a soda can
- Florida arranged migrant flights to California, where officials are considering legal action
Recommendation
Current, future North Carolina governor’s challenge of power
Today’s Climate: June 10, 2010
Princess Charlotte Is a Royally Perfect Big Sister to Prince Louis at King Charles III's Coronation
The heartbreak and cost of losing a baby in America
Justice Department, Louisville reach deal after probe prompted by Breonna Taylor killing
What happened on D-Day? A timeline of June 6, 1944
Scientists debate how lethal COVID is. Some say it's now less risky than flu
What happened on D-Day? A timeline of June 6, 1944